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← Explore · Market 2069670

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

6.3% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 6.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 6.7¢ / 6.3¢
Spread0.7¢ (11.0%)
Change 24h-1.05pt
Change 7d-0.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$65,638
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,103 / $3,168
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score49.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 29 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.52
RSI (14, hourly)29.2
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth