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← Explore · Market 2071546

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

30.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 31.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d+8.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14,983
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$104,254 / $13,415
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth