← Explore · Market 2071550
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
65.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 66.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 66.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability66.0%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 65.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7d+11.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$80,965
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45,602 / $235,229
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 81 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean5.61
RSI (14, hourly)81.0
Realized vol 7d1.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 22h.
Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%