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← Explore · Market 2071550

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

65.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 66.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability66.0%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 65.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7d+11.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$80,965
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45,602 / $235,229
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 81 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.61
RSI (14, hourly)81.0
Realized vol 7d1.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth