← Explore · Market 2071554
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
41.3% implied · bid 40.7¢ · ask 41.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 41.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability41.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.7¢ / 41.8¢ / 41.3¢
Spread1.1¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+1.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$69,492
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,814 / $156,809
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score94.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.12
RSI (14, hourly)63.2
Realized vol 7d1.62pt
Change 1h-0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 22h.
Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%