← Explore · Market 2088354
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8 / $129
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 574752716690402.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-574752716690402.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%