← Explore · Market 2088357
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
0.3% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.4¢ (133.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $111
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1149505433380804.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1149505433380804.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%