← Explore · Market 2099581

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

0.3% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.6¢ (200.0%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$21,362

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $68

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.0 / 100

RSI 78 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61

RSI (14, hourly)77.8

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 173d 22h.

Time to resolve173d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%