← Explore · Market 2099583
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
0.6% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.6¢
Spread0.2¢ (33.3%)
Change 24h+0.45pt
Change 7d+0.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$307,362
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$48 / $394
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)87
Liquidity score49.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.75
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 22h.
Time to resolve173d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%