← Explore · Market 2099587

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.4¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.2¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h-0.25pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$162,703

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$66 / $291

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.2 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.05pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 22h.

Time to resolve173d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%