← Explore · Market 2107953
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
0.3% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.3¢ (120.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$117
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13 / $70
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%