← Explore · Market 2107954
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
96.5% implied · bid 96.1¢ · ask 96.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.9%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability96.9%
Bid / ask / mid96.1¢ / 96.9¢ / 96.5¢
Spread0.8¢ (0.8%)
Change 24h-0.70pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$435
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,433 / $13,988
Imbalance44% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.02
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%