← Explore · Market 2107955

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

1.6% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 2.5¢

The market prices this at 3.5%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.

Implied probability3.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 2.5¢ / 1.6¢

Spread1.9¢ (122.6%)

Change 24h-0.70pt

Change 7d-1.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$544

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45 / $190

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.6 / 100

RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.40

RSI (14, hourly)44.2

Realized vol 7d0.18pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%