← Explore · Market 2107956

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

1.3% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.8¢

The market prices this at 0.9%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability0.9%

Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.3¢

Spread1.0¢ (76.9%)

Change 24h+0.75pt

Change 7d+0.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$379

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$94 / $537

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 78 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.28

RSI (14, hourly)78.3

Realized vol 7d0.15pt

Change 1h-0.20pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%