← Explore · Market 2109516
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$215 / $234
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 18906339364816.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-18906339364816.85
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%