← Explore · Market 2118269

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

0.4% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.4¢ (100.0%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$267

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$32 / $111

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.61

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 24d 21h.

Time to resolve24d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%