← Explore · Market 2118270

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

28.6% implied · bid 28.2¢ · ask 29.0¢

The market prices this at 28.1%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability28.1%

Bid / ask / mid28.2¢ / 29.0¢ / 28.6¢

Spread0.8¢ (2.8%)

Change 24h+0.85pt

Change 7d+1.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$482

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$389 / $970

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.7 / 100

RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.17

RSI (14, hourly)22.2

Realized vol 7d0.37pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 24d 21h.

Time to resolve24d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%