← Explore · Market 2118801

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

63.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 65.0¢

The market prices this at 63.0%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%

Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 63.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h-7.00pt

Change 7d-6.00pt

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,300

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$995 / $1,378

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.2 / 100

RSI 13 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.66

RSI (14, hourly)12.5

Realized vol 7d0.66pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 21d 22h.

Time to resolve21d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%