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← Explore · Market 2118801

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

54.5% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 54.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-11.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 69/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$985
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23,772 / $24,409
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score69.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.84pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 67d 21h.

Time to resolve67d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth