← Explore · Market 2118802

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

1.1% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 1.6¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.1¢

Spread1.1¢ (104.8%)

Change 24h+0.40pt

Change 7d+0.55pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$806

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31 / $30

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.5 / 100

RSI 74 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.20

RSI (14, hourly)73.7

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 21d 22h.

Time to resolve21d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%