← Explore · Market 2118802
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
2.2% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.5¢ / 2.2¢
Spread0.6¢ (27.3%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d-0.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$614
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$172 / $31
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.75
RSI (14, hourly)58.4
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h-0.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 67d 21h.
Time to resolve67d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%