← Explore · Market 2118805

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

43.0% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

The market prices this at 42.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability42.0%

Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h-1.50pt

Change 7d+17.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,086

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,113 / $12,976

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 20 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.62

RSI (14, hourly)20.0

Realized vol 7d0.88pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 67d 21h.

Time to resolve67d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%