← Explore · Market 2118805
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
35.0% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 36.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 35.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability35.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 35.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,897
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,525 / $586
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.96
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d0.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 22h.
Time to resolve21d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%