← Explore · Market 2125764
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $49
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.45
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%