← Explore · Market 2125765

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d-0.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,245

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $296

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.7 / 100

RSI 20 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.76

RSI (14, hourly)20.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 21h.

Time to resolve12d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%