← Explore · Market 2125766

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

98.3% implied · bid 98.1¢ · ask 98.4¢

The market prices this at 98.4%, up 1.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability98.4%

Bid / ask / mid98.1¢ / 98.4¢ / 98.3¢

Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h+1.30pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,916

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,229 / $14,992

Imbalance48% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score57.1 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.39

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d0.28pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 21h.

Time to resolve12d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%