← Explore · Market 2125767

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

1.9% implied · bid 1.8¢ · ask 2.1¢

The market prices this at 1.8%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability1.8%

Bid / ask / mid1.8¢ / 2.1¢ / 1.9¢

Spread0.3¢ (15.4%)

Change 24h-0.20pt

Change 7d+1.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,457

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$225 / $167

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.7 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.94

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.26pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 12d 21h.

Time to resolve12d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%