← Explore · Market 2126460
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
2.3% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.2%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.2%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.3¢ / 2.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h-0.55pt
Change 7d-1.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,650
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,349 / $2,157
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)16.7
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%