← Explore · Market 2126460

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

5.3% implied · bid 5.1¢ · ask 5.6¢

The market prices this at 5.1%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability5.1%

Bid / ask / mid5.1¢ / 5.6¢ / 5.3¢

Spread0.5¢ (9.3%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+0.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$38,815

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,652 / $3,034

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)6

Liquidity score50.3 / 100

RSI 34 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.81

RSI (14, hourly)33.7

Realized vol 7d0.43pt

Change 1h+0.40pt

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%