← Explore · Market 2126461

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+2.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,774

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,215 / $1,896

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score46.6 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.35

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.32pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%