a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 2126461

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,252
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,340 / $6,153
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.97
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth