← Explore · Market 2126461
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,252
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,340 / $6,153
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.97
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%