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Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

0.7% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 1.4%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability1.4%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.7¢

Spread0.3¢ (46.2%)

Change 24h-0.45pt

Change 7d-0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,716

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,120 / $19

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score49.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.89

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h-0.45pt

Resolves in 470d 21h.

Time to resolve470d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%