← Explore · Market 2127318
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
0.9% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 1.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.2%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 1.2¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.6¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h-0.75pt
Change 7d-3.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,270
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,074 / $57
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.99
RSI (14, hourly)22.2
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h-0.80pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 470d 21h.
Time to resolve470d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%