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Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

1.2% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 1.3¢

The market prices this at 1.2%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%

Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 1.3¢ / 1.2¢

Spread0.2¢ (16.7%)

Change 24h-0.70pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$240

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24 / $83

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.25

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.35pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 92d 21h.

Time to resolve92d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%