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Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

11.0% implied · bid 9.2¢ · ask 12.8¢

The market prices this at 10.3%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 3.6¢ spread.

Implied probability10.3%

Bid / ask / mid9.2¢ / 12.8¢ / 11.0¢

Spread3.6¢ (32.7%)

Change 24h-1.10pt

Change 7d+1.90pt

Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$143

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$444 / $12

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score32.2 / 100

RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.48

RSI (14, hourly)35.3

Realized vol 7d1.05pt

Change 1h+0.25pt

Resolves in 92d 21h.

Time to resolve92d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%