← Explore · Market 2166671

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

24.3% implied · bid 24.2¢ · ask 24.3¢

The market prices this at 24.3%, up 11.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability24.3%

Bid / ask / mid24.2¢ / 24.3¢ / 24.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+11.75pt

Change 7d-15.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,213

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72 / $151

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.6 / 100

RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.24

RSI (14, hourly)93.3

Realized vol 7d1.08pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%