← Explore · Market 2166673
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
3.9% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 4.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.2%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.
Implied probability3.2%
Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 4.5¢ / 3.9¢
Spread1.3¢ (33.8%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-0.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$28
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$323 / $146
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 9.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-9.94
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%