← Explore · Market 2166692
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
44.0% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 44.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.4%, up 4.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability44.4%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 44.1¢ / 44.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+4.40pt
Change 7d+21.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,965
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,825 / $872
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 19 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.20
RSI (14, hourly)18.8
Realized vol 7d2.62pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%