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← Explore · Market 2166700

Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

5.1% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 7.1¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 4.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 7.1¢ / 5.1¢
Spread4.1¢ (81.2%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-3.90pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$498
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$80 / $32
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score29.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.48
RSI (14, hourly)48.3
Realized vol 7d0.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth