← Explore · Market 2167512
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
3.5% implied · bid 3.3¢ · ask 3.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.6%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability3.6%
Bid / ask / mid3.3¢ / 3.7¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.4¢ (11.4%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d-0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$412 / $517
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.45
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%