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← Explore · Market 2167513

Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?

3.1% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 3.2¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 3.2¢ / 3.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$410 / $446
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 31930706482799.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-31930706482799.11
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth