← Explore · Market 2168338
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
23.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 25.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 19.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability19.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 23.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (12.8%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d-20.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,031
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$64 / $21
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.34
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d1.34pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 538d 21h.
Time to resolve538d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%