← Explore · Market 2168339
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
18.9% implied · bid 7.3¢ · ask 30.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.6%, down 35.3pt over 24h, on a 23.2¢ spread.
Implied probability17.6%
Bid / ask / mid7.3¢ / 30.5¢ / 18.9¢
Spread23.2¢ (122.8%)
Change 24h-35.30pt
Change 7d-5.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,381
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 8 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.75
RSI (14, hourly)7.6
Realized vol 7d4.23pt
Change 1h-3.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 538d 21h.
Time to resolve538d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%