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Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?

3.0% implied · bid 2.3¢ · ask 3.7¢

The market prices this at 3.9%, down 1.7pt over 24h, on a 1.4¢ spread.

Implied probability3.9%

Bid / ask / mid2.3¢ / 3.7¢ / 3.0¢

Spread1.4¢ (46.7%)

Change 24h-1.65pt

Change 7d+0.90pt

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$733

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$52 / $10

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.0 / 100

RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.01

RSI (14, hourly)48.2

Realized vol 7d0.46pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 538d 21h.

Time to resolve538d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%