← Explore · Market 2168343
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
45.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 46.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 42.0%, up 18.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+18.50pt
Change 7d+30.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$732
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$101 / $58
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.80
RSI (14, hourly)93.3
Realized vol 7d2.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 538d 21h.
Time to resolve538d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%