← Explore · Market 2169894

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

83.1% implied · bid 78.2¢ · ask 88.0¢

The market prices this at 84.2%, up 6.3pt over 24h, on a 9.8¢ spread.

Implied probability84.2%

Bid / ask / mid78.2¢ / 88.0¢ / 83.1¢

Spread9.8¢ (11.8%)

Change 24h+6.35pt

Change 7d+18.30pt

Thin (score 1/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$295

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$63 / $25

Imbalance62% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score1.0 / 100

RSI 89 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.26

RSI (14, hourly)89.3

Realized vol 7d3.13pt

Change 1h+1.25pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%