← Explore · Market 2169896
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
89.6% implied · bid 87.1¢ · ask 92.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.9%, down 3.8pt over 24h, on a 5.1¢ spread.
Implied probability94.9%
Bid / ask / mid87.1¢ / 92.2¢ / 89.6¢
Spread5.1¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h-3.75pt
Change 7d-3.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,112
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$397 / $473
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score24.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.85
RSI (14, hourly)40.9
Realized vol 7d2.41pt
Change 1h+0.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%