← Explore · Market 2170255

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-4.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,198

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,633 / $1,918

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score48.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.22

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.55pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%