← Explore · Market 2176262

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

4.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 5.0¢

The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%

Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (22.2%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-21.00pt

Deep and tight (score 83/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$214,148

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39,834 / $35,760

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)11

Liquidity score82.8 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.02

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.54pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%