← Explore · Market 2176270

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

62.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 63.0¢

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%

Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 62.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7d-20.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$113,760

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$83,889 / $38,183

Imbalance33% bid

Large trades (>$1k)10

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.67

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d0.77pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%