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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

33.5% implied · bid 33.0¢ · ask 34.0¢

The market prices this at 33.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%

Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 33.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.0%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$169,413

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$163,402 / $31,198

Imbalance29% bid

Large trades (>$1k)16

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.14

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.54pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 23h.

Time to resolve127d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%