← Explore · Market 2233783
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?
4.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 5.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $153
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 44 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.59
RSI (14, hourly)44.4
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 21h.
Time to resolve26d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%