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← Explore · Market 2233784

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

92.5% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 93.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 92.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability92.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 92.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 60% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,445
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,121 / $3,304
Imbalance60% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.26
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 21h.

Time to resolve26d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth