← Explore · Market 2234097

Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

2.9% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 4.0¢

The market prices this at 2.8%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 2.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.8%

Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 4.0¢ / 2.9¢

Spread2.1¢ (71.2%)

Change 24h-0.80pt

Change 7d-1.15pt

Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$129

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$51 / $74

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score39.6 / 100

RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.06

RSI (14, hourly)22.2

Realized vol 7d0.39pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 31d 21h.

Time to resolve31d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%