← Explore · Market 2234099
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$112
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$252 / $345
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 31d 21h.
Time to resolve31d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%