← Explore · Market 2234100

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?

2.9% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 4.0¢

The market prices this at 6.3%, up 2.2pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.

Implied probability6.3%

Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 4.0¢ / 2.9¢

Spread2.3¢ (80.7%)

Change 24h+2.20pt

Change 7d+2.10pt

Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$199

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $46

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score38.5 / 100

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.43

RSI (14, hourly)53.5

Realized vol 7d1.96pt

Change 1h+0.30pt

Resolves in 31d 21h.

Time to resolve31d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%