← Explore · Market 2241741
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
14.0% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (14.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$516
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$739 / $1,872
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.80
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%